Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004029 0.004420 0.004840 0.005325 0.005873 0.006473 0.007184
2025-08-24 0.003353 0.003889 0.004508 0.005278 0.006220 0.007343 0.008798
2025-08-31 0.002908 0.003494 0.004200 0.005124 0.006315 0.007821 0.009900
2025-09-07 0.002644 0.003268 0.004048 0.005109 0.006541 0.008442 0.011221
2025-09-14 0.002504 0.003175 0.004040 0.005262 0.006980 0.009370 0.013060
2025-09-21 0.002301 0.002975 0.003868 0.005166 0.007054 0.009784 0.014194
2025-09-28 0.002129 0.002801 0.003712 0.005070 0.007107 0.010157 0.015297
2025-10-05 0.002010 0.002688 0.003628 0.005064 0.007284 0.010725 0.016778
2025-10-12 0.001935 0.002630 0.003614 0.005157 0.007614 0.011561 0.018820
2025-10-19 0.001824 0.002513 0.003505 0.005092 0.007684 0.011976 0.020173
2025-10-26 0.001738 0.002425 0.003431 0.005074 0.007825 0.012518 0.021833
2025-11-02 0.001645 0.002321 0.003326 0.004997 0.007855 0.012866 0.023165
2025-11-09 0.001580 0.002259 0.003285 0.005028 0.008087 0.013624 0.025499
2025-11-16 0.001502 0.002172 0.003201 0.004980 0.008177 0.014137 0.027429
2025-11-23 0.001411 0.002059 0.003067 0.004837 0.008080 0.014274 0.028558
2025-11-30 0.001354 0.001997 0.003011 0.004823 0.008219 0.014892 0.030895
2025-12-07 0.001332 0.001989 0.003042 0.004965 0.008665 0.016192 0.035137
2025-12-14 0.001268 0.001910 0.002950 0.004876 0.008651 0.016518 0.037009
2025-12-21 0.001209 0.001835 0.002861 0.004786 0.008627 0.016818 0.038873
2025-12-28 0.001169 0.001789 0.002819 0.004781 0.008774 0.017516 0.041985
2026-01-04 0.001146 0.001772 0.002826 0.004867 0.009119 0.018719 0.046841
2026-01-11 0.001102 0.001716 0.002759 0.004807 0.009145 0.019165 0.049548
2026-01-18 0.001067 0.001674 0.002716 0.004790 0.009263 0.019855 0.053200